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Shadow of a Doubt - June 2022

 

June 2022

NCAS Public Lecture Series

The Uses of Delusion:
Why It’s Not Always Rational to Be Rational

Stuart Vyse, PhD
Contributing Editor, Skeptical Inquirer

Saturday, June 4, 1:30pm - 4:00pm US/Eastern (UTC-04:00)
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Regional Services Center
2nd Floor (West Room)
4805 Edgemoor Lane
Bethesda, MD [map] [directions]
(Bethesda Metro station)
FREE admission – Everyone welcome, members and non-members

 Also a YouTube Live Event with Q and A 

NCASVideo YouTube Channel:



Although reason and rationality are our friends in almost all contexts, in some cases people are better off putting reason aside. In a number of very important situations, we benefit by not seeing the world as it is, and by not behaving like logic-driven machines. Sometimes we know we aren’t making sense, and yet we are compelled to act against reason; in other cases, our delusions are so much a part of normal human experience that we are unaware of them. As intelligent as we are, much of what has helped humans succeed as a species is not our prodigious brain power but something much more basic.

In behavioral scientist Stuart Vyse’s new book, The Uses of Delusion: Why It’s Not Always Rational to be Rational, he looks at the aspects of human nature that are not altogether rational but, nonetheless, help us achieve our social and personal goals.

Stuart Vyse is a behavioral scientist, teacher, and writer. He taught at Providence College, the University of Rhode Island, and Connecticut College. Vyse’s book Believing in Magic: The Psychology of Superstition won the 1999 William James Book Award of the American Psychological Association. He is a contributing editor of Skeptical Inquirer magazine, where he writes the “Behavior & Belief” column, and a Fellow of the Association for Psychological Science and of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry.

Refreshments and socializing after the talk.

https://www.ncas.org/2022/05/june-4-uses-of-delusion-why-its-not.html



NCAS Board Elections: Electronic Voting
The 2022 NCAS election is underway.  In mid-May, your e-mail inbox should've received a single-cast secret ballot from "elections@ncas.org via SurveyMonkey <member@surveymonkeyuser.com>".  (NCAS will receive information indicating who voted, but nothing to indicate who cast each ballot.)  Please vote by June 15, 2022.

Note that voters will not be at risk for spamming as a result of participating...SurveyMonkey has a zero-tolerance spam policy:
https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/legal/acceptable-uses-policy/


Torn From Today's Headlines
By Scott Snell
Congressional Hearing on "Unidentified Aerial Phenomena"
On May 17, 2022, the "C3" Subcommittee of the US House of Representatives Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence held an open hearing on UFOs (also called UAPs, "Unidentified Aerial Phenomena.")  Following the open portion of the hearing, the C3 (Counterterrorism, Counterintelligence, and Counterproliferation) Subcommittee held a closed, classified briefing.  Testifying were Ronald S. Moultrie, Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence and Security, and Scott W. Bray, Deputy Director of Naval Intelligence.

Video of the open portion of the hearing is available here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aSDweUbGBow&t=455s

Moultrie was tasked in 2021 by US Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks to "establish the Airborne Object Identification and Management Synchronization Group (AOIMSG [pronounced "aim sog"]) to synchronize efforts across the [Defense] Department and the broader U.S. government to detect, identify and attribute objects of interests [sic] in Special Use Airspace (SUA), and to assess and mitigate any associated threats to safety of flight and national security."
https://media.defense.gov/2021/Nov/23/2002898596/-1/-1/0/ESTABLISHMENT-OF-THE-AIRBORNE-OBJECT-IDENTIFICATION-AND-MANAGEMENT-SYNCHRONIZATION-GROUP.PDF
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/2853121/dod-announces-the-establishment-of-the-airborne-object-identification-and-manag/

In addition to Moultrie and Bray providing status on the establishment of AOIMSG and answering questions from House members, Bray showed a UAP video:
https://www.dvidshub.net/video/843620/navy-2021-flyby-video

(Right-click the video and select "Speed" of 0.5x for best results.  Pause the video to find the three frames showing a UAP.)

Later, Committee for Skeptical Inquiry Fellow Mick West commented on the video:
https://twitter.com/MickWest/status/1526702856408944641

West also participated in a discussion about the hearing:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCcfMWVycS4

Perhaps the closed, classified hearing was more interesting, but of course we can only speculate.  It's also worth noting that AOIMSG (which Moultrie said will likely be renamed) is just getting started.  But as of now, nothing very interesting has emerged publicly.

Notably, this was the first Congressional hearing about UFOs since July 29, 1968, when the US House Committee on Science and Astronautics held its "Symposium on Unidentified Flying Objects."

The ncas.org site hosts an online edition of the 1968 symposium record, created and proofread by a team of NCAS volunteers:
https://files.ncas.org/ufosymposium/index.html


Torn From Last Month's Headlines
By Scott Snell
The Joke that Got Away
The previous Shadow of a Doubt displayed the 1950 Census listing for L. Ron Hubbard...


...but I neglected to make a joke about the entry for Hubbard on "What was this person doing most of last week - working, keeping house, or something else?"  ("Wk" = working, "H" = keeping house, "U" = unable to work, "Ot" = other)

"I wonder if Scientologists would interpret 'OT' as 'Operating Thetan?'"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operating_Thetan

(Hubbard's "Operating Thetan" concept didn't exist, at least not publicly, until he debuted Scientology in 1952.)

Speaking of Hubbard, here's an interesting 1968 episode of a UK investigative journalism TV series, World in Action, entitled "The Shrinking World of L. Ron Hubbard," which includes interviews with him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_w-YWwC1lI


AmazonSmile: Thanks to our members who are supporting NCAS!
When shopping at smile.amazon.com, you'll find the same low prices, vast selection, and convenient shopping experience as Amazon.com, with the added bonus that a portion of the purchase price (0.5%) goes to NCAS! It's simple and automatic, and it doesn't cost you anything!

AmazonSmile's disbursements to NCAS in the fourth quarter of 2021 came to $44.68, meaning that nearly $9000 of purchases were designated in support of NCAS.  (As an example of how NCAS can put that money to good use, it's more than enough to cover two hours of a Montgomery County lecture room rental.)

Thanks again to our members who have chosen to support NCAS!

For more information:
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Shadow Light
Some members and contacts of NCAS receive a postal notification of this and every new monthly Shadow of a Doubt.  The Shadow Light postcard announces the monthly lecture and highlights of the electronic Shadow of a Doubt, which is available online at ncas.org/p/shadow.html.  NCAS thereby reduces Shadow production and postage costs.  To further reduce costs, members and contacts can opt out of postal notification altogether, while continuing to receive Shadow of a Doubt via e-mail.  To opt out, send us an e-mail at ncas@ncas.org.


Time to Renew?
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Shadow of a Doubt - Special April 2022

 

  • April 30 NCAS lecture -Susan Gerbic will present "Grief vampires: Wikipedia and More".
  • NCAS June lecture - Stuart Vyse in "Behavior and Belief"
  • NCAS Board elections - Upcoming NCAS election via electronic voting
  • Torn from Today's Headlines - Release of 1950 US census
  • Amazon Smile - Donate to NCAS for free
  • Shadow Lite
  • Time to Renew? 
Read Shadow here
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Shadow of a Doubt - Special April 2022

 Two Great Events:

    April 27, 5:30 PM: Award Dinner and FREE Magic Show to Celebrate Susan Gerbic (Please let us know if you are coming: rsvp@ncas.org)
    April 30, 1:30 PM: Susan Gerbic Presents "Grief Vampires, Wikipedia and More"

NCAS presents: Philip J. Klass Award Dinner and Magic Show to celebrate Susan Gerbic

Wednesday, April 27, 5:30 - 8:30 pm
Busboys and Poets, Takoma
235 Carroll St NW, Washington, DC 20012
(one block from the Takoma Metro on the Red Line)
FREE admission – Everyone welcome, members and non-members.  Be sure to RSVP at rsvp@ncas.org

The Philip J. Klass Award honors outstanding efforts to promote critical thinking and scientific understanding.

All are invited as NCAS celebrates Susan Gerbic and the efforts of her “guerilla skeptics” team of editors who keep watch on Wikipedia, especially on issues of science and pseudoscience.

NCAS is hosting an award dinner in her honor, including a show by magician Peter Wood. The event is free and open to all. Food and beverages can be purchased from the menu at the event.

Susan Gerbic is the founder and leader of "About Time," a project to find, mentor, and train people to promote science and scientific skepticism through crowdsourced and educational activities worldwide.  It features "Guerrilla Skepticism on Wikipedia" (GSoW), a group of editors who create and improve Wikipedia articles to reflect scientific skepticism. This year, the total written pages surpassed 2,000 in 15 languages, with over 100 million views. Gerbic is also known for her research and sting operations against psychic mediums, whom she calls "grief vampires" for cynically claiming to communicate with dead loved ones.  Gerbic's work with GSoW led to her becoming a consultant for the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry (CSI), and later, a fellow.  James "The Amazing" Randi presented her with awards in 2013 and 2017.

Magician Peter Wood is a "collector of the impossible" -- he presents incredible, unique, and magical objects with unparalleled showmanship. On their national television show, Penn & Teller called Peter’s act “beautiful, subtle,” saying “I don’t think we’ve ever said this before on the show: it was really, really enjoyable to do your thinking along with you.”


NCAS Public Lecture Series

Grief Vampires, Wikipedia and More

Presented by Susan Gerbic

Saturday, April 30, 1:30 - 4:00pm
Central Library
Barbara M. Donnellan Auditorium
1015 North Quincy Street
Arlington, VA [map] [directions]
(Virginia Square-GMU Metro station)
FREE admission – Everyone welcome, members and non-members

 Also a YouTube Live Event with Q and A 

NCASVideo YouTube Channel:


Susan Gerbic, having received the 2022 Philip J. Klass Award for outstanding contributions in critical thinking and scientific understanding on April 27, will provide an update on her projects.

"About Time," a nonprofit she founded in 2018, recruits, mentors, and trains people to promote science and scientific skepticism through crowdsourced and educational activities worldwide.  It features "Guerrilla Skepticism on Wikipedia" (GSoW), a group of editors who create and improve Wikipedia articles to reflect scientific skepticism. This year, the total written pages surpassed 2,000 in 15 languages, with over 100 million views.

She'll also present the latest news about her sting operations against psychic mediums, whom she calls "grief vampires" for cynically claiming to communicate with dead loved ones.
In addition to receiving the Klass Award, Susan Gerbic is the recipient of the James Randi Educational Foundation's "James Randi Award for Skepticism in the Public Interest" in 2013, and the "JREF Award" in 2017.

A fellow of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry, she is also co-founder of Monterey County Skeptics, a frequent contributor to Skeptical Inquirer, and a fellow for GWUP, the German-speaking skeptics' society.

Refreshments and socializing after the talk.

https://www.ncas.org/2022/04/april-2022-ncas-awards-philip-j-klass.html

The underground parking garage entrance is located at the library's NW corner.  Surface lots are north and east of the building.

June NCAS Lecture
Psychologist Stuart Vyse, "Behavior & Belief" columnist for Skeptical Inquirer, will discuss his new book, The Uses of Delusion: Why It's Not Always Rational to Be Rational.  Saturday, June 4 at 1:30 PM at Bethesda-Chevy Chase Regional Services Center.


NCAS Board Elections: Electronic Voting
The upcoming 2022 NCAS election will use electronic voting.  When voting begins, each member will receive an email from NCAS (via surveymonkey.com) containing a unique web address usable as a single-cast secret ballot.  (NCAS will receive information indicating who voted, but nothing to indicate who cast each ballot.)

Note that voters will not be at risk for spamming as a result of participating...SurveyMonkey has a zero-tolerance spam policy:
https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/legal/acceptable-uses-policy/


Torn From Today's Headlines
By Scott Snell
Release of the 1950 US Census
Per the "72-year rule," the records of the 1950 Census were released to the public on April 1, 2022.  They can be accessed free of charge at https://1950census.archives.gov/.

Recently I searched for a person and place of note, and a person and place of notoriety.  I was successful on both counts.

First, notoriety...where was L. Ron Hubbard (1911-1986) in April 1950?  He, his wife, and newborn daughter are listed by Census enumerator Eugene Burphy, who visited the rented house at 666 [insert joke here] East Avenue in Bay Head, New Jersey on April 13:


(Columns 7 through 20b are shown here, with descriptions at https://www.census.gov/history/www/through_the_decades/index_of_questions/1950_population.html)

Just a few weeks later, Hubbard's book, Dianetics: The Modern Science of Mental Health, was released with a book launch party held at the Algonquin Hotel in New York City.  Hubbard wrote the book at the house, finishing in February 1950.

https://www.nj.gov/dep/hpo/1identify/nr_nomntns_07_20_2017/L%20Ron%20Hubbard%20House_WEB_2017-05-12.pdf

The world got a sneak peek at Dianetics on April 19 when the May issue of "Astounding Science Fiction" hit newsstands:
https://archive.org/details/Astounding_v45n03_1950-05_cape1736

The entry for "What kind of business or industry was he working in?" was originally listed as "fiction novels," but then was changed to "text book publishing."  I wonder if Hubbard's wife provided the first response, and then Hubbard spoke to the enumerator.

Next, notable.  Where was James Van Allen (1914-2006) in May 1950?  He, his wife, and two daughters are listed by enumerator Mary Kelso, who visited their home at 1105 Meurilee Lane in Silver Spring, Maryland on May 1:






Van Allen was a physicist at Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, which at that time was located at 8621 Georgia Avenue, near the intersection with Colesville Road in Silver Spring.

Just a few weeks earlier (April 5), the Van Allens hosted a dinner party here, at which the plan for an International Geophysical Year (IGY) for 1957-1958 was originated and a strategy for proceeding was reached.  Guests were Sidney Chapman, Lloyd Berkner, S. Fred Singer, Harry Vestine, and J. Wallace Joyce.  Among many accomplishments during the IGY was the first US satellite, Explorer 1, which discovered the radiation belts encircling Earth, known as the Van Allen belts.

https://www.jhuapl.edu/content/techdigest/pdf/V06-N04/06-04-VanAllen.pdf

Van Allen and his family lived here from 1948 to 1951, when he accepted a position as chair of the University of Iowa physics department.


AmazonSmile: Thanks to our members who are supporting NCAS!
When shopping at smile.amazon.com, you'll find the same low prices, vast selection, and convenient shopping experience as Amazon.com, with the added bonus that a portion of the purchase price (0.5%) goes to NCAS! It's simple and automatic, and it doesn't cost you anything!

AmazonSmile's disbursements to NCAS in the fourth quarter of 2021 came to $44.68, meaning that nearly $9000 of purchases were designated in support of NCAS.  (As an example of how NCAS can put that money to good use, it's more than enough to cover two hours of a Montgomery County lecture room rental.)

Thanks again to our members who have chosen to support NCAS!

For more information:
https://smile.amazon.com/about
https://press.aboutamazon.com/news-releases/news-release-details/amazon-launches-amazonsmile-simple-automatic-way-customers

Shadow Light
Some members and contacts of NCAS receive a postal notification of this and every new monthly Shadow of a Doubt.  The Shadow Light postcard announces the monthly lecture and highlights of the electronic Shadow of a Doubt, which is available online at ncas.org/p/shadow.html.  NCAS thereby reduces Shadow production and postage costs.  To further reduce costs, members and contacts can opt out of postal notification altogether, while continuing to receive Shadow of a Doubt via e-mail.  To opt out, send us an e-mail at ncas@ncas.org.

Time to Renew?
Be sure to check your renewal date above your postal address on the Shadow Light postcard. Send any queries to ncas@ncas.org.  Use the online membership form to renew.
https://www.ncas.org/p/shadow.html